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1. You don't get full stock market growth!
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These vehicles base your return on the growth of a recognized stock
market the TSE 35, the TSE 100 or the S&P 500. Few investors are aware
that each stock market index is calculated two ways - with and without
dividends on the underlying shares. Index-linked GICs are tied to the index
without corporate dividends.
Significant!
Example: TSE 300 for the three years 1994-96
which includes dividends rose 46.7% during that time for an average of
13.6% a year. Without dividends, the TSE 300 gained 37.2% or 11.1% a year.
ONE-FIFTH MORE WITH DIVIDENDS!!
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2. Averaging may help or hurt your return.
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Most of these deposits do not simply calculate the difference between
the stock market index at the start of the term and maturity. Instead they
use an average index level for the end-point. Often, the institution averages
the index level at the end of each of the final 12 months. That means you
do not get the full benefit of a stock market run-up during those months.
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3. Your money is tied up.
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As with a regular GIC, your money is tied up until maturity. Nor
can you change your choice of index. Mutual funds let you access any or
all of your money at any time and allow you to change your investment choice.
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4. If you invest outside an RRSP or RRIF, make
sure you understand the tax pitfalls.
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Although they're based on the stock market, the returns on an index-linked
GIC are fully taxed just like regular GIC interest. You do not get the
benefit of the lower rates on capital gains and Canadian corporate dividends.
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5. Do you really need downside protection at this
point?
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You might if you're a risk-adverse senior who is really counting
on using that money in just a few years. But if your money can be invested
for more than just a few years, the odds are that you're sacrificing growth
and flexibility for insurance you probably won't need.
While past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns,history
has shown that the longer your investment period, the less risk you face
of capital loss. Let's look at the TSE 300 total index for the 40 years
from 1957 through 1996. Annual calendar year returns ranged as high as
44.8% in 1979 to as low as -25.9% in 1974 and the index lost money in 11
of those 40 years. But that changes dramatically when you look at rolling
five-year periods(1957-61, 1958-62, etc.) There were 36 of them and only
one 1970-74 had a negative average compound annual return. Notice that
all 31 of the rolling 10 year periods had positive returns.
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